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September 3, 2009
By: John Penhallow
Contributing Editor
In France, and to some extent in the rest of Europe, nothing much happens in July and August because the journalists are all sunning themselves on a beach. Some, however, soldier on, and those that do sometimes find that the economic and business life of the continent has not gone entirely comatose. Take the economy, for a start. The Economist, not a magazine given to excessive optimism, reminds us in its latest issue that both France and Germany notched up small increases in economic growth for the second quarter of 2009, thus officially coming out of recession. Even in Britain, a revival of the swooning economy may be in sight, says The Economist, while noting that the Cassandras over at the Bank of England are warning that “Recovery could be slow and protracted.” Industrial production in the Euro area in June was still 17 percent down from a year ago (for comparison, the US on the same basis was 14 percent down, and Britain’s production suffered “only” a fall of 11 percent). Europe’s politicians are everywhere encouraging banks to lend more, but somehow this high-altitude optimism does not yet seem to be penetrating through to the ground-level concerns of label converters, their suppliers or their customers. With the pound sterling’s decline in value (20 percent down in trade-weighted terms over the past year), UK exporters should have the edge over their continental European competitors. David Lee, director of narrow web press manufacturer Focus, acknowledges that he and other British exporters derived some benefit from the exchange rate in the early months of the year, but that today “European label converters are still waiting for the recovery, and although it’s definitely starting there will be a time lag while they bring their production up to somewhere near capacity. The same is true of the Far East. Chinese and Indian economies are picking up fast, but there will still be a time lag before they start ordering new equipment.” This has not stopped Focus from recently selling label presses to two UK converters, says Lee, and orders continue to come in although not at the levels previously experienced.
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